Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (Jan 2022)

Prognostic modeling of patients with metastatic melanoma based on tumor immune microenvironment characteristics

  • Jing Liu,
  • Xuefang Zhang,
  • Ting Ye,
  • Yongjian Dong,
  • Wenfeng Zhang,
  • Fenglin Wu ,
  • Huaben Bo,
  • Hongwei Shao,
  • Rongxin Zhang,
  • Han Shen

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2022067
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 19, no. 2
pp. 1448 – 1470

Abstract

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Most of the malignant melanomas are already in the middle and advanced stages when they are diagnosed, which is often accompanied by the metastasis and spread of other organs. Besides, the prognosis of patients is bleak. The characteristics of the local immune microenvironment in metastatic melanoma have important implications for both tumor progression and tumor treatment. In this study, data on patients with metastatic melanoma from the TCGA and GEO datasets were selected for immune, stromal, and estimate scores, and overlapping differentially expressed genes were screened. A nine-IRGs prognostic model (ALOX5AP, ARHGAP15, CCL8, FCER1G, GBP4, HCK, MMP9, RARRES2 and TRIM22) was established by univariate COX regression, LASSO and multivariate COX regression. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to test the predictive accuracy of the model. Immune infiltration was analyzed by using CIBERSORT and Xcell in high-risk and low-risk groups. The immune infiltration of the high-risk group was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group. Immune checkpoint analysis revealed that the expression of PDCD1, CTLA4, TIGIT, CD274, HAVR2 and LAG3 demonstrated the visible difference in groups with different levels of risk scores. WGCNA analysis found that the yellow-green module contained seven genes from the nine-IRG prognostic model, and the yellow-green module had the highest correlation with risk scores. The results of GO and KEGG suggested that the genes in the yellow-green module were mainly enriched in immune-related biological processes. Finally, the expression characteristics of ALOX5AP, ARHGAP15, CCL8, FCER1G, GBP4, HCK, MMP9, RARRES2 and TRIM22 were analyzed between metastatic melanoma and normal samples. Overall, a prognostic model for metastatic melanoma based on the tumor immune microenvironment characteristics was established, which left plenty of space for further studies. It could function well in helping people to understand characteristics of the immune microenvironment in metastatic melanoma.

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