Annual and Seasonal Dynamics of CO₂ Emissions in Major Cities of China (2019–2022)

Abstract

To control the growth of CO2 emissions and achieve the goal of carbon peaking, this study carried out a detailed spatio-temporal analysis of carbon emissions in major cities of China on a city-wide and seasonal scale, used carbon emissions as an indicator to explore the impact of COVID-19 on human activities, and thereby studied the urban resilience of different cities. Our research re-vealed that (i) the seasonal patterns of CO2 emissions in major cities of China could be divided into four types: Long High, Summer High, Winter High, and Fluctuations, which was highly related to the power and industrial sectors. (ii) The annual trends, which were strongly affected by the pan-demic, could be divided into four types: Little Impact, First Impact, Second Impact, and Both Impact. (iii) The recovery speed of CO2 emissions reflected urban resilience. Cities with higher levels of de-velopment had a stronger resistance to the pandemic, but a slower recovery speed. Studying the changes in CO2 emissions and their causes can help to make timely policy adjustments during the economic recovery period after the end of the pandemic, provide more references to urban resilience construction, and provide experience for future responses to large-scale emergencies.

Keywords

• CO₂ emissions
• time series decomposition
• annual dynamics
• seasonal dynamics
• urban resilience
• social emergencies (COVID-19)