P-43 PROGNOSTIC MODELS AFTER TRANSARTERIAL CHEMOEMBOLIZATION IN A LATIN AMERICAN PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

Abstract

Conflict of interest: No Introduction and Objectives: With the advent of new therapeutic options for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at intermediate stage of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), regional real-world data regarding prognostic survival factors are significant. The aim of this study was to evaluate pre and post-prognostic survival variables after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Patients / Materials and Methods: A multicenter prospective cohort study was conducted in Argentina, Chile, Brazil, and Colombia, including HCC patients at BCLC B or C stages who were treated with TACE from 2018 to 2024. The effect on survival since date of first TACE was evaluated through Cox proportional hazard survival analysis. Harrell´s c-statistic index for model discrimination was estimated through somers-d. Results and Discussion: Overall, 625 patients were included, of which 41.3% (n=258) received TACE (Table 1), and 4.6% (n=29) selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT). The median number of TACEs procedures was 2 (range 1-3); 54.5% conventional TACE, and 44.7% with drug-eluting beads. Median follow-up since first TACE was 17.7 months, with a median overall survival of 27.3 months (range 21.9-35.1). Radiological objective response rates (ORR) after first and last TACEs were 49.2% (95% CI 42.9-55.5%), and 29.0% (95% CI 22.6-36.1%), with significantly better post TACE survival [HR of 0.48 (95% CI 0.29-0.78); P=0.003]. The pre-TACE prognostic model showed liver decompensation was an independent variable associated with increased post TACE mortality was [HR 2.0 (CI 1.28-3.12)], adjusted for performance status, and the HAP score. Pre and post-TACE model showed that the effect of liver decompensation was adjusted [HR 1.7 (CI 0.98-2.8); P=0.06], when ORR after last TACE was achieved and included in this model [HR 0.48 (CI 0.29-0.79); P=0.004], with a c-statistic index of 0.66 (95% CI 0.60-0.72). Conclusions: Radiological response after sequential TACE might reduce the negative effect of liver decompensation on post-TACE survival. However, cautious TACE stopping rules should be considered.