NORTHERN SEA ROUTE: ESTIMATES AND FORECASTS

Abstract

It is noted that the Northern Sea Route (NSR) is characterised by the legal support of its maritime activities, the implementation of measures to ensure the safety of navigation, the growth of cargo traffic, the improvement of its manageability through the advancement of infrastructure, technologies, forecast estimates, human resources, and the elimination (weakening) of the imposed sanctions restrictions against the Russian Federation. The article analyses the NSR Development Plan until 2035 (dated August 1, 2022, №2115-r), highlights its features and novelty, and emphasises that it comprehensively and systematically reveals the priority areas for its development for the first time and implementation of its transport and logistics potential. It is noted that since the nuclear icebreaker fleet is already quite outdated today, it is necessary to commission new icebreakers. It is hoped that the NSR will strengthen the existing partnership relations of the Russian Federation with other states interested in its functioning. Attention is drawn to the influence of the NSR on the development of the territories of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and the strengthening of security in the North. The article concludes that the problems of the NSR will require new technological solutions to reduce risks and increase the efficiency of its operation during the year.

Keywords

• arctic zone of the russian federation
• transport potential
• northern sea route
• shipping
• transit traffic