Nature Communications (May 2021)

The epidemicity index of recurrent SARS-CoV-2 infections

  • Lorenzo Mari,
  • Renato Casagrandi,
  • Enrico Bertuzzo,
  • Damiano Pasetto,
  • Stefano Miccoli,
  • Andrea Rinaldo,
  • Marino Gatto

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22878-7
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 1
pp. 1 – 12

Abstract

Read online

Several prognostic indices are available to predict the long-term fate of emerging infectious diseases and the effect of their containment measures, including a variety of reproduction numbers. Here, the authors introduce the epidemicity index, a complementary index to evaluate the potential for transient increases of SARS-Cov-2 epidemics.