Efficacy, safety, and biomarker analysis of first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors with chemotherapy versus chemotherapy for advanced gastric cancer: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study
Xue Zhang,
Xin Dai,
Aina Liu,
Meili Sun,
Lei Cong,
Jing Liang,
Zimin Liu,
Zhen Li,
Jinling Zhang,
Jing Lv,
Fangli Cao,
Linli Qu,
Haiyan Liu,
Lu Yue,
Yi Zhai,
Fujun Yang,
Jiahui Chu,
Shuang Wang,
Qian Xu,
Jianyuan Zhou,
Shulun Nie,
Miao Huang,
Ruitao Xu,
Qiushi Wang,
Xinyu Song,
Di Zhang,
Zhaodi Nan,
Song Li,
Lian Liu
Affiliations
Xue Zhang
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Xin Dai
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Aina Liu
Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University
Meili Sun
Department of Oncology, Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University
Lei Cong
Department of Oncology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University
Jing Liang
Department of Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University
Zimin Liu
Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University
Zhen Li
Department of Oncology, Linyi Cancer Hospital
Jinling Zhang
Department of Oncology, Linyi People’s Hospital
Jing Lv
Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University
Fangli Cao
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital (Qingdao), Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Linli Qu
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital (Qingdao), Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Haiyan Liu
Department of Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University
Lu Yue
Department of Oncology, Qingdao Municipal Hospital
Yi Zhai
Department of Oncology, Zibo Center Hospital
Fujun Yang
Department of Oncology, Weihai Municipal Hospital
Jiahui Chu
Department of Pharmacy, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Shuang Wang
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Qian Xu
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Jianyuan Zhou
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Shulun Nie
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Miao Huang
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Ruitao Xu
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Qiushi Wang
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Xinyu Song
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Di Zhang
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Zhaodi Nan
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Song Li
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Lian Liu
Department of Medical Oncology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University
Abstract Background Recent phase III randomized controlled trials have demonstrated that first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) improve prognosis in advanced HER-2-negative gastric cancer patients with programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) combined positive score (CPS) higher than 5. However, these findings are not confirmed in real-world settings, and the benefits in PD-L1 CPS < 5 patients remain controversial. Methods In this multicenter, retrospective cohort study, data from across thirteen medical centers were analyzed by inverse probability of treatment weighting for matching, alongside univariate and multivariate COX proportional hazard regression models. Genomic and transcriptomic analyses were conducted to identify efficacy prognostic models and resistance mechanisms. Results This study included 573 patients with advanced gastric cancer, 265 treated with chemotherapy and 308 with ICIs plus chemotherapy. In the overall cohort and HER-2-negative patients, the combination therapy significantly improved progression-free survival and overall survival, without marked increases in severe adverse events. Notably, patients with PD-L1 CPS 1–4 showed significant overall survival prolongation and a trend towards improved progression-free survival with combination therapy. Patients with unknown PD-L1 status also benefitted from ICIs. SMARCA4 and BRCA2 mutations were more frequent in patients with responses, while CCNE1 and ZFHX3 alternation, alongside high “ABC transporters” signatures, were more common in non-responsive patients. A novel risk model, PGFIC, outperformed traditional biomarkers in predicting treatment outcomes. Conclusions Adding ICIs to first-line treatment significantly prolongs survival in overall patients and in those with PD-L1 CPS 1–4 or unknown. This study also provides valuable insights into prognostic markers and resistance mechanisms, potentially guiding immunotherapy strategies.