Defence Science Review (Mar 2018)

THREAT MONITORING IN DEFENSE AND SECURITY SYSTEMS – METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS

  • Bogdan Ćwik

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0012.9760
Journal volume & issue
no. 5
pp. 203 – 229

Abstract

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The article addresses the problem of increasing the effectiveness of warning systems about threats. The problem of so-called „surprises” is the problem of these types of systems, which are the result of not being able to see the symptoms of incoming events in time, despite the presence of technologically advanced monitoring systems, including hazard tracking systems. The aim of the article is to analyze selected theoretical and methodological aspects of monitoring war-ning signals in terms of the possibility of improving the effectiveness of warning systems. The results of the analyzes carried out present proposals for a new theoretical as well as methodological approach to the issues of hazard monitoring. The presented theoretical approach, as well as related models, can have a beneficial effect on the effectiveness of warning systems.

Keywords