Risk factors and prognosis of postoperative acute myocardial infarction in elderly hip fracture patients combined with coronary heart disease

Abstract

Abstract Introduction This article mainly studies the risk factors for postoperative acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in elderly hip fracture patients combined with coronary heart disease (CHD), constructs a prediction model, and evaluates the prognosis of all the patients. Methods This article retrospectively collected elderly patients with hip fracture and CHD who underwent hip fracture surgery at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2019 to December 2021. Demographic data, laboratory indicators, and imaging examination results were collected from the medical case system. The risk factors of postoperative AMI were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram prediction model was established. The ROC curve, calibration curve and DCA decision curve were plotted by R language software. The patients in the training set were followed up for 2 years to evaluate their survival situation. Results 1094 eligible patients were divided into a training set (n = 824 from January 1, 2019 to September 31, 2021) and a validation set (n = 270 from October 1, 2021 to December 31, 2022). In the training set, women accounted for 58.6%; The average age of the patients was 79.45 years old; The main type of fracture was intertrochanteric fracture. There were 64.7% patients taken B receptor blockers; A total of 166 (20.1%) patients underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI); Hypertension accounted for 55.5%; 520 (63.1%) patients had a preoperative waiting time greater than 3 days; The average hemoglobin value upon admission was 101.36 g/L; The average intraoperative bleeding volume was 212.42 ml; The average surgical time was 2.5 ± 0.3 h; Reginal anesthesia accounted for 29.7%; 63 (68.5%) AMI patients had no obvious clinical symptoms; 68 (73.9%) AMI patients did not show ST-segment elevation in ECG; The risk factors of postoperative AMI were age, hemoglobin at admission, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, intraoperative bleeding, and reginal anesthesia. The AUC of the nomogram prediction model was 0.729. The AUC in the validation set was 0.783. Survival analysis showed a significant statistical difference in 2-year mortality between patients with AMI and without AMI, among all the patients with AMI, patients with ECG ST-segment elevation has higher mortality than patients without ECG ST-segment elevation. Conclusion Our research results found that the incidence of postoperative AMI in elderly patients with hip fractures and CHD was 11.1%. Age, diabetes, hemoglobin at admission, regional anesthesia, chronic kidney disease, and intraoperative bleeding are risk factors. The AUC of the nomogram in training set is 0.729. The 2-year mortality rate of the patients with AMI is higher than that of patients without AMI.

Keywords

• Coronary heart disease
• Acute myocardial infarction
• Hip fracture
• Elderly patients
• Prognosis
• Prediction model