Loan level loss given default (LGD) study of Indian banks

Abstract

Loss given default (LGD) is a critical element in estimating expected as well as unexpected credit losses in banking business. This article investigates written-off history of Indian banks and provides estimates of LGD on loans across sectors, loan facilities and collateral type. The study is based on internal loss data obtained from various scheduled commercial banks in India over twenty years. A multifactor tobit regression model has also been developed to capture the key determinants affecting LGD that will be helpful to predict future losses of Indian banks. LGD trends over various time periods have also been assessed to establish their linkage with probability of default.

Keywords

• Loss given default
• Credit risk
• Loan loss