Can Remote Sensing Technologies Capture the Extreme Precipitation Event and Its Cascading Hydrological Response? A Case Study of Hurricane Harvey Using EF5 Modeling Framework

Abstract

A new generation of precipitation measurement products has emerged, and their performances have gained much attention from the scientific community, such as the Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system (MRMS) from the National Severe Storm Laboratory (NSSL) and the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). This study statistically evaluated the MRMS and GPM products and investigated their cascading hydrological response in August of 2017, when Hurricane Harvey brought historical and record-breaking precipitation to the Gulf Coast (>1500 mm), causing 107 fatalities along with about USD 125 billion worth of damage. Rain-gauge observations from Harris County Flood Control District (HCFCD) and stream-gauge measurements by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) were used as ground truths to evaluate MRMS, GPM and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) gauge-only data by using statistical metrics and hydrological simulations using the Ensemble Framework for Flash Flooding Forecast (EF5) model. The results indicate that remote sensing technologies can accurately detect and estimate the unprecedented precipitation event with their near-real-time products, and all precipitation products produced good hydrological simulations, where the Nash−Sutcliff model efficiency coefficients (NSCE) were close to 0.9 for both the MRMS and GPM products. With the timeliness and seamless coverage of MRMS and GPM, the study also demonstrated the capability and efficiency of the EF5 framework for flash flood modeling over the United States and potentially additional international domains.

Keywords

• hurricane harvey
• mrms and imerg
• ef5 hydrological simulation