Electrification policy impacts on land system in British Columbia, Canada

Abstract

British Columbia (BC) is committed to transitioning to a low-carbon energy system to meet its CO2 emission reduction targets, but this shift towards renewable energy sources may have significant implications for land use. This paper investigates the land-use impacts of different electrification pathways and technology choices in BC's energy system using the BC Nexus model. Our analysis highlights the potential increase in land-use requirements associated with transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources, with the occupied land of the power system potentially increasing up to six times larger than the current total build-up land (depending on the scale of electrification and technology choice). These findings have important implications for policymakers in terms of balancing the trade-offs between energy security, economic development, and environmental sustainability. By understanding the physical footprint of the energy transition, decision-makers can develop more effective climate policies and sustainable development strategies.

Keywords

• Optimization modelling
• Land-use
• Nexus of water, food, energy
• Nexus modelling
• Capacity expansion
• CLEWs