Mixture predicted no-effect concentrations derived by independent action model vs concentration addition model based on different species sensitivity distribution models

Abstract

In the hazard assessment of mixtures, the mixture predicted no-effect concentration (mPNEC) is always derived by the concentration addition (CA) model (mPNECCA) to assess the risk of mixtures combined with exposure assessment. However, the independent action (IA) model, which is also widely used as the CA model in the prediction and evaluation of mixture toxicity, is always used to calculate the population fraction showing a predefined effect, not mPNEC, and this limits the application of IA model in the mixture risk assessment. In this study, we explored the process of mPNEC derived by the IA method (mPNECIA) based on the species sensitivity distribution (SSD) and compared mPNECIA with mPNECCA. Taking two common pesticides, dimethoate (DIM) and dichlorvos (DIC), exposed in the actual water environment as an example, their SSD models were constructed separately using nine distribution functions after toxicity data screening and quality testing. For both DIC and DIM, all different nine models had passed the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Then, the PNECs of two pesticides were derived based on SSD models. Finally, mPNECIA with different concentration ratios was derived and compared to mPNECCA based on 81 combinations of nine SSD models. Most mPNEC values derived by IA model were more conservative than those by CA. It is worth noting that the mPNECIA is more conservative than mPNECCA for the commonly used log-logit distribution (function 7), log-normal distribution (8), and log-Weibull distribution (9). This study provides a new direction for the application of IA in the risk assessment and enriches the framework of mixture risk assessment.

Keywords

• Binary mixture
• Conservatism
• Model-dependent
• Mixture risk assessment
• Mixture toxicology