Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (Feb 2024)
A Deep Learning Model Combining Multimodal Factors to Predict the Overall Survival of Transarterial Chemoembolization
Abstract
Zhongqi Sun,1 Xin Li,1 Hongwei Liang,1 Zhongxing Shi,2 Hongjia Ren3 1Department of Radiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, 150086, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Interventional Radiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, 150086, People’s Republic of China; 3School of Information Science and Engineering, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao, 066004, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Zhongqi Sun, Email [email protected]; Hongjia Ren, Email [email protected]: To develop and validate an overall survival (OS) prediction model for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).Methods: In this retrospective study, 301 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received TACE from 2012 to 2015 were collected. The residual network was used to extract prognostic information from CT images, which was then combined with the clinical factors adjusted by COX regression to predict survival using a modified deep learning model (DLOPCombin). The DLOPCombin model was compared with the residual network model (DLOPCTR), multiple COX regression model (DLOPCox), Radiomic model (Radiomic), and clinical model.Results: In the validation cohort, DLOPCombin shows the highest TD AUC of all cohorts, which compared with Radiomic (TD AUC: 0.96vs 0.63) and clinical model (TD AUC: 0.96 vs 0.62) model. DLOPCombin showed significant difference in C index compared with DLOPCTR and DLOPCox models (P < 0.05). Moreover, the DLOPCombin showed good calibration and overall net benefit. Patients with DLOPCombin model score ≤ 0.902 had better OS (33 months vs 15.5 months, P < 0.0001).Conclusion: The deep learning model can effectively predict the patients’ overall survival of TACE.Keywords: deep learning, transarterial chemoembolization, hepatocellular carcinoma
