Development of production intensity of Czech agriculture in 1998–2004 and its short-term forecast

Abstract

The paper presents findings obtained in the exact evaluation of an average level and its predicative possibility, dynamics and the trend of indicators of an aggregate agricultural account as a fundamental methodological tool for measuring the economic size and effectiveness of agricultural basic industries within the national economy of the Czech Republic and a defined reference period. The basic part of the analysis consists of aggregates of the production of an agricultural period, intermediate consumption and gross added value and net added value produced by all agricultural units after deduction the consumption of fixed capital. Parameters of applied models of developmental tendencies of studied events for the assessed time period were used in their short-term extrapolation forecast.

Keywords

• aggregate agricultural account
• aggregates
• average level
• variability
• dynamics
• trend