A Cohesion-Based Heuristic Feature Selection for Short-Term Traffic Forecasting

Abstract

An input vector composed of various features plays an important role in short-term traffic forecasting. However, there is limited research on the optimal feature selection of an input vector for a certain forecasting task. To fill the gap, this paper proposes a cohesion-based heuristic feature selection method by analyzing the nature of the forecasting methods. This method is able to determine which features should be contained in an input vector to make a forecasting algorithm perform better. The proposed method is demonstrated in two experiments based on the empirical traffic flow data. The results show that the method is able to improve the performances of the short-term traffic forecasting algorithms. It is then suggested to consider the proposed method as a preprocessing procedure in practical forecasting applications.

Keywords

• Traffic flow
• short-term forecasting
• optimal feature selection
• input vector