Geosystemic Impacts of the Extreme Rainfall Linked to the El Niño 2015/2016 Event in Northern Paraná, Brazil

Abstract

The El Niño episode between September 2015 and February 2016 caused abundant rainfall in the state of Paraná in southern Brazil. In this study, we map the greatest magnitude of this climatic event and the respective geosystem responses in the landscape. For this purpose, 32 precipitation series were analyzed (1981–2016). The parameter most indicative of extreme rainfall events during the El Niño period was the six-month accumulated precipitation. The return period (RP) of this parameter was calculated and spatialized using kriging. The results show that a longitudinal strip of 450 km by 140 km had rainfall with RP > 30 years, reaching maximums greater than 150 years. Surveys performed in the field, with aerial images, official sources and media news show a great diversity of effects caused by rainfall, such as road blockages, interruption of water and power supply, and erosion in urban and rural areas. It is concluded that the stability of regional geosystems was disrupted because of extreme rainfall values, so that the northwest region of Paraná had less resilience compared to the north-central and Pioneer North regions, due to the differences between the lithologies and soils of these regions.

Keywords

• erosion
• flooding
• resilience
• return period
• connectivity