Monetary policy, macroprudential policy, and bank risk-taking behaviour in the Indonesian banking industry

Abstract

There is a growing consensus on the translation of monetary policy actions into changes in credit demand on account of changes in interest rates. The study investigates monetary policy, macroprudential policy, bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank risk-taking from 2010–2022 in Indonesia. The study aims to address a gap in the literature because most previous studies have focused on advanced markets. First, three POLS and fixed effect models are estimated. However, the Durbin Wu-Hausman test indicated endogeneity issues with the estimated models. The second stage uses a system GMM estimation to investigate the impact of central bank rates and macroprudential policy on bank risk-taking. Dynamic-GMM estimations find that, partially the central bank rate and macroprudential policy have a positive impact on bank Z-Score. Furthermore, when central bank rate and macroprudential policy are included in a model, we still find a positive impact of both policies on bank Z-Score.

Keywords

• Central bank rate
• macroprudential policy
• Z-Score
• bank risk-taking