Spatial Pattern of Forest Age in China Estimated by the Fusion of Multiscale Information

Abstract

Forest age is one of most important biological factors that determines the magnitude of vegetation carbon sequestration. A spatially explicit forest age dataset is crucial for forest carbon dynamics modeling at the regional scale. However, owing to the high spatial heterogeneity in forest age, accurate high-resolution forest age data are still lacking, which causes uncertainty in carbon sink potential prediction. In this study, we obtained a 1 km resolution forest map based on the fusion of multiscale age information, i.e., the ninth (2014–2018) forest inventory statistics of China, with high accuracy at the province scale, and a field-observed dataset covering 6779 sites, with high accuracy at the site scale. Specifically, we first constructed a random forest (RF) model based on field-observed data. Utilizing this model, we then generated a spatially explicit forest age map with a 1 km resolution (random forest age map, RF map) using remotely sensed data such as tree height, elevation, meteorology, and forest distribution. This was then used as the basis for downscaling the provincial-scale forest inventory statistics of the forest ages and retrieving constrained maps of forest age (forest inventory constrained age maps, FIC map), which exhibit high statistical accuracy at both the province scale and site scale. The main results included the following: (1) RF can be used to estimate the site-scale forest age accurately (R2 = 0.89) and has the potential to predict the spatial pattern of forest age. However, (2) owing to the impacts of sampling error (e.g., field-observed sites are usually located in areas exhibiting relatively favorable environmental conditions) and the spatial mismatch among different datasets, the regional-scale forest age predicted by the RF model could be overestimated by 71.6%. (3) The results of the downscaling of the inventory statistics indicate that the average age of forests in China is 35.1 years (standard deviation of 21.9 years), with high spatial heterogeneity. Specifically, forests are older in mountainous and hilly areas, such as northeast, southwest, and northwest China, than in southern China. The spatially explicit dataset of the forest age retrieved in this study encompasses synthesized multiscale forest age information and is valuable for the research community in assessing the carbon sink potential and modeling carbon dynamics.

Keywords

• China
• forest age
• spatial pattern
• forest inventory
• random forest