A Survey Data Approach for Determining the Probability Values of Vehicle-to-Grid Service Provision

Abstract

One of the key aspects of vehicle-to-grid technology (V2G) is the analysis of uncertainty in electric vehicle user behavior. Correct estimation of the amount of available energy from electric vehicles that are expected to provide ancillary services to the electricity system operator or to secure the end user’s demand is essential to design these services in an appropriate way. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the probabilities of V2G service performance for different scenarios. This paper presents the author’s approach to determining the values of V2G service provision probabilities using survey data. It was found that estimating these values using simulation and forecasting tools makes sense when the coefficients resulting from survey responses are used as initial data. Thus, the paper also presents the results of the surveys that were conducted. As the results from the simulations show, the values of the probabilities of V2G services are not high, which should induce future operators of V2G services to offer a beneficial product for the customer.

Keywords

• vehicle-to-grid
• vehicle-to-everything
• electric vehicles
• smart grids