Energies (Sep 2024)

Attention-Based Load Forecasting with Bidirectional Finetuning

  • Firuz Kamalov,
  • Inga Zicmane,
  • Murodbek Safaraliev,
  • Linda Smail,
  • Mihail Senyuk,
  • Pavel Matrenin

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/en17184699
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 17, no. 18
p. 4699

Abstract

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Accurate load forecasting is essential for the efficient and reliable operation of power systems. Traditional models primarily utilize unidirectional data reading, capturing dependencies from past to future. This paper proposes a novel approach that enhances load forecasting accuracy by fine tuning an attention-based model with a bidirectional reading of time-series data. By incorporating both forward and backward temporal dependencies, the model gains a more comprehensive understanding of consumption patterns, leading to improved performance. We present a mathematical framework supporting this approach, demonstrating its potential to reduce forecasting errors and improve robustness. Experimental results on real-world load datasets indicate that our bidirectional model outperforms state-of-the-art conventional unidirectional models, providing a more reliable tool for short and medium-term load forecasting. This research highlights the importance of bidirectional context in time-series forecasting and its practical implications for grid stability, economic efficiency, and resource planning.

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