D-dimer trends predict COVID-19 patient’s prognosis: A retrospective chart review study

Abstract

This is a retrospective study of patients admitted to Jackson Hospital, Montgomery, Alabama, with a diagnosis of COVID-19 from January 1, 2021, to February 15, 2022. The independent variables used in the models were patient sex, age, race, BMI category, daily D-dimer categories, categories of anticoagulation doses, bleeding episodes, and vaccination status. The three different categories of anticoagulation doses were considered for the purpose of the study which were Enoxaparin 40 mg daily vs Enoxaparin 80 mg daily vs Enoxaparin 1 mg/kg or equivalent daily. The study reviewed a total of 100 hospitalized patients. Intermediate-dose anticoagulation was found to be the optimal dose as only 14% patients died compared to a 36 and 50% death rate among those treated with low-dose and high-dose anticoagulation, respectively. The multivariate linear regression model predicting patient oxygen requirements revealed D-dimer and bleeding status to be statistically significant predictors with a p value of <0.01. For the patients who had a D-dimer value ≥2 µg/mL, the oxygenation requirement was predicted to be 31 L higher than those with a D-dimer <2 µg/mL (99% CI; p < 0.01). When mean D-dimer and corresponding oxygen requirements were calculated per hospitalization days category, the D-dimer levels and oxygen requirements were noted to follow the same trends indicating that both values tended to increase and decrease simultaneously. The study concludes daily D-dimer trends can predict COVID-19 patient survival or daily oxygen requirements indicating that D-dimer can be the miracle molecule for COVID-19 prognosis.

Keywords

• covid-19
• sars-cov-2
• anticoagulation
• enoxaparin
• bleeding risk
• prognosis
• oxygen
• vaccination
• d-dimer
• non-critically ill