Accurate Prediction of 327 Rice Variety Growth Period Based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Multispectral Remote Sensing

Abstract

Most rice growth stage predictions are currently based on a few rice varieties for prediction method studies, primarily using linear regression, machine learning, and other methods to build growth stage prediction models that tend to have poor generalization ability, low accuracy, and face various challenges. In this study, multispectral images of rice at various growth stages were captured using an unmanned aerial vehicle, and single-plant rice silhouettes were identified for 327 rice varieties by establishing a deep-learning algorithm. A growth stage prediction method was established for the 327 rice varieties based on the normalized vegetation index combined with cubic polynomial regression equations to simulate their growth changes, and it was first proposed that the growth stages of different rice varieties were inferred by analyzing the normalized difference vegetation index growth rate. Overall, the single-plant rice contour recognition model showed good contour recognition ability for different rice varieties, with most of the prediction accuracies in the range of 0.75–0.93. The accuracy of the rice growth stage prediction model in recognizing different rice varieties also showed some variation, with the root mean square error between 0.506 and 3.373 days, the relative root mean square error between 2.555% and 14.660%, the Bias between1.126 and 2.358 days, and the relative Bias between 0.787% and 9.397%; therefore, the growth stage prediction model of rice varieties can be used to effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the growth stage periods of rice.

Keywords

• precision agriculture
• rice growth stages
• UAV remote sensing
• deep-learning algorithm
• vegetation index