Exploring the Sensitivity Range of Underlying Surface Factors for Waterlogging Control

Abstract

To mitigate the incidence of waterlogging to livelihoods and property security, a combination of management measures has been necessary to achieve optimal benefits, reducing the risk caused by waterlogging to the development of the urban ecology. Thus, this study aims to analyze the sensitivity and sensitivity range of management measures under different rainfall conditions, focusing on establishing a foundation for their combined implementation. Based on different rainfall scenarios, the modified Morris method is employed to assess the sensitivity of key factors and subsequently determine their respective sensitivity ranges. The findings reveal that the sensitivity rankings for total overflow volume and maximum pipe flow are as follows: pipe volume per hectare (PV-H), proportion of impervious area (P-Imperv), and slope. Additionally, analyzing the variation pattern of sensitivity with factors highlight the high sensitivity ranges. As for total overflow volume, a very high sensitivity is observed when the P-Imperv ranges from 36.8% to 82.7% (Niujiaolong community) and from 82.7% to 94.5% (Zhuyuan community). Similarly, when PV-H is less than 148 (Niujiaolong community) and 89.6 (Zhuyuan community), the sensitivity of PV-H to total overflow volume is very high. Nevertheless, the slope had a lower influence on the sensitivity in the study areas. These findings provide a complete analysis of the management measures sensitivity, which can be valuable for creating optimal urban waterlogging management systems.

Keywords

• waterlogging management
• modified Morris method
• sensitivity analysis
• sensitivity range