Methods for the reliability optimization of district-distributed heating systems with prosumers

Abstract

District-distributed heating systems are considered as the result of the development of existing district heating systems, in which various energy technologies are integrated to achieve maximum efficiency of the heating to consumers. The distributed sector in these systems is associated, first of all, with the implementation of prosumers. The problem statement is determining such values of reliability parameters of components (in particular, failure rates) of studied system that provide the required level of reliability of heating to consumers at the minimum cost for ensuring this level of reliability taking into account the redundancy of prosumers. A methodology is based on the nodal probability of failure-free operation index, the Markov random process, the laws of heat transfer processes in heat supply, and some other methods. A case example is considered, an analysis of the results obtained is carried out, and directions for further research are formulated.

Keywords

• District heating systems
• Prosumer
• Reliability optimization
• Failure-free operation probability
• System-wide reliability parameter
• Markov random process