Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study

Tin Lukić; Predrag Marić; Ivana Hrnjak; Milivoj B. Gavrilov; Dragan Mladjan; Matija Zorn; Blaž Komac; Zoran Milošević; Slobodan B. Marković; Dušan Sakulski; Andries Jordaan; Jasmina Đorđević; Dragoslav Pavić; Rastislav Stojsavljević

doi:10.3986/AGS.918

Acta Geographica Slovenica (Jan 2017)

Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study

Tin Lukić,
Predrag Marić,
Ivana Hrnjak,
Milivoj B. Gavrilov,
Dragan Mladjan,
Matija Zorn,
Blaž Komac,
Zoran Milošević,
Slobodan B. Marković,
Dušan Sakulski,
Andries Jordaan,
Jasmina Đorđević,
Dragoslav Pavić,
Rastislav Stojsavljević

Affiliations

Tin Lukić: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovica 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Predrag Marić: Ministry of Interior / Sector for Emergency Management of the Republic of Serbia Kneza Miloša 101, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
Ivana Hrnjak: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Milivoj B. Gavrilov: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Dragan Mladjan: Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies Cara Dušana 196, 11080 Zemun, Belgrade, Serbia
Matija Zorn: Anton Melik Geographical Institute Research Centre of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts Gosposka ulica 13, SI – 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Blaž Komac: Anton Melik Geographical Institute Research Centre of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts Gosposka ulica 13, SI – 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Zoran Milošević: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad/ Faculty of Engineering and Physical Science, University of Surrey Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia/ Guildford Surrey GU2 7XH, United Kingdom
Slobodan B. Marković: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Dušan Sakulski: Department of Environmental Engineering and Occupational Safety and Health, Faculty of Technical Sciences/ Disaster Management Training and Education Centre (DiMTEC), University of the Free State Trg Dositeja Obradovića 6, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia/205 Nelson Mandela Drive Park West, Bloemfontein, South Africa
Andries Jordaan: Disaster Management Training and Education Centre (DiMTEC) University of the Free State 205 Nelson Mandela Drive Park West, Bloemfontein, South Africa
Jasmina Đorđević: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Dragoslav Pavić: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Rastislav Stojsavljević: Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.918
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 57, no. 1
pp. 51–63 – 51–63

Abstract

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A recent forest fire in the Republic of Serbia is discussed concerning classification, legislative framework and fire management, giving a detailed analysis of the forest fire occurrence. Analysing past and predicting future fires are crucial for policy development and forest management practices to prevent and mitigate fires. Fire hazard is discussed through several fire protection and prevention legislative documents. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test was used to analyse resent forest fire data in an attempt to find causality in occurrences and frequency. The meteorological data and fire statistics provided by the Serbian Hydro-meteorological Service and the Ministry of Interior/Sector for Emergency Management of the Republic of Serbia were used to calculate the Forest Fire Weather Indices, along with deficit or surplus of precipitation for the case study of Tara Mountain. The paper highlights the need for better hierarchical classification of fire hazards and its harmonisation along with standardisations presented by leading international research institutions. A significant correlation between meteorological parameters and forest fire occurrence was found. This opens a possibility for further investigation and analysis of geophysical and anthropogenic driven factors that can influence disaster occurrence.

Published in Acta Geographica Slovenica

ISSN: 1581-6613 (Print); 1581-8314 (Online)
Publisher: ZRC SAZU, Založba ZRC
Country of publisher: Slovenia
LCC subjects: Geography. Anthropology. Recreation: Geography (General)
Website: https://ojs.zrc-sazu.si/ags

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