The second COVID-19 wave of 2020 in Italy: A brief analysis

Abstract

Introduction/purpose: Based on the results obtained previously, the second wave of Covid-19 infection is analyzed and some predictions on its evolution are given. Methods: A model of population growth giving a differential equation has been used to describe the pandemic wave. Results: The second wave of infection is essentially on its peak in the middle of November 2020 and will not decrease very soon. Conclusions: The second wave is not going to end in the year 2020 and it will take some time before a status of relative normality is restored.

Keywords

• coronavirus
• covid-19
• differential equation
• data fit