Current scenario of covid 19 & impact of preventive strategies in curtailing its spread in a district of Gujarat

Abstract

COVID-19 outbreak has been declared pandemic by World Health Organization (WHO). This study was planned to know the current COVID-19 situation in district and to know the impact of data driven preventive strategy to curtail the cases (Between 3rd August and 2nd September 2020). This is a cross sectional study done in tribal district of Gujarat. Total registered patients upto 2nd September 2020 were included in the study. Out of total 1189 patients, 34.4% were female. Recovery rate on 3rd August 2020 was 44.8% which is increased to 82.09% on 2nd September 2020. Positivity rate declined from 5.2% to 2.3% despite increase in test per million from 5042 to 51606 between 3rd August and 2nd September 2020. This decrease in test positivity rate attributed to preventive strategy followed by district. Over a period of one month (3rd August to 2nd September) district observed gradual decrease in Compound daily growth rate (CDGR) and increase in doubling time. Over a period of time, downward trend in cases detection and increase in recovery rate observed due to preventive strategies followed by district. To curtail the COVID-19 it is required to keep constant watch on spread, as few cases left undiagnosed can make big spike in district. [J Med Allied Sci. 2021; 11(2):130-136]

Keywords

• cdgr
• covid-19
• future projection