Bankruptcy Prediction: A Survey on Evolution, Critiques, and Solutions

Abstract

After the economic crisis and the BASEL agreement, the bankruptcy prediction research has evolved substantially due to its importance in corporate finance. This paper summarizes the short history of bankruptcy prediction from the beginning until quite recently. First, it presents a short summary of bankruptcy prediction evolution pointing to the most used models. Then, it provides a summary of the most cited papers that discuss the evolution of bankruptcy prediction and of those papers that have contributed to bankruptcy prediction. Finally, it summarizes some critiques about bankruptcy prediction that the literature has formulated over time and provides some suggestions for future research on bankruptcy prediction.

Keywords

• failure prediction
• parametric modelling
• non-parametric modelling
• bankruptcy
• g33 – bankruptcy
• liquidation