IMPACT OF FINANCIAL CRISIS ON BLACK SEA TOURISM

Abstract

This paper aims to highlight, using a linear regression model, how the antisocial measures (reducing wages, taxation of pensions, increased VAT rate), adopted by the government amid the global financial crisis, affect various aspects of life in Romania. In this respect, using a simple linear correlation, we analyzed the impact of the average wage in Romania on the number of days of accommodation and on the number of tourists staying in southern Black Sea coast hotel during 2004-2011. Analysis revealed a strong correlation (as detected by the correlation matrix) between the variables mentioned above and also a strong impact of the independent variable (average salary) on the two dependent variables (number of days of stay and the number of Romanian tourists staying in unit from 2004-2011).

Keywords

• Romanian tourism
• global downturn
• fiscal measures