基于征信大数据分析的中国劳动力人口迁徙研究

Abstract

The data of population migration is an important data source to reflect urbanization and can provide support for government to promote new urbanization construction.The Credit Reference Center,the People’s Bank of China collects data from financial institutions which recorded time and place for economic behaviors during migration.The authentic and reliable data source give the Credit Reference Center an incomparable advantage to identify individual’s immigration trajectory.A comprehensive analysis was conducted based on 4.88 billion personal credit records of 390 million citizens from the database of Credit Reference Center.Several new characteristics of labor force migration since the economic reform and open up were concluded based on the analysis,furthermore,a Logistic model was applied to predict future tendency of labor force migration.

Keywords

• population migration;credit reference system;Logistic model