Rapid assessment of the current price level of basic building materials and analysis of their dynamics

Abstract

Successful implementation of investment and construction projects, including in housing construction, should take into account the results of monitoring prices for building materials with the possibility of forecasting in the short term. Obviously, modern conditions require better cost planning from construction organizations. The evaluated studies confirm the lack of information in the field of analyzing the dynamics of prices for basic building materials in order to define the relationship of various factors affecting the ability to predict and establish trends in costs change in the short and medium term. To eliminate subjectivity in the research, the authors provided an express analysis at various levels of generalization of statistical information on the cost indicators of building materials and considered a conjunctural analysis of the cost according to contractors. The study revealed that according to the manufacturers the shortage of building materials is not expected, but in conditions of work in the regime of sanctions pressure, the costs not only for construction materials, but also for the repair and maintenance of equipment can significantly increase. In addition, the problems may occur concerning the supply of technological equipment and disruption of logistics links. The authors made a rapid assessment of the current price level of the main price-forming building materials, as well as analysis and forecasting of their dynamics. The objectivity of the conclusions is due to the representativeness of information on the dynamics of price indicators, achieved through rapid analysis at various levels of generalization of statistical information, starting from Rosstat data and ending with the level of market analysis according to contractor construction organizations. The results of the study will allow us to determine the trends in the price dynamics of the cost of building materials and, accordingly, construction products.

Keywords

• building materials
• price
• analysis
• dynamics
• forecast