Identification of Patterns and Relationships of Jet Stream Position with Flood-Prone Precipitation in Iran during 2006–2019

Abstract

Jet streams are atmospheric phenomena that operate on a synoptic scale and can intensify the descending/ascending conditions of the air at the lower levels of the atmosphere. This study aimed to identify the patterns and location of the jet stream in southwest Asia during the days of widespread rainfall in Iran based on two criteria: “highest frequency of stations involved” and “maximum cumulative amount on the day of peak rainfall”. For this purpose, the daily precipitation data for 42 synoptic stations in Iran during the period 2006–2019 from the Meteorological Organization of Iran, the daily data at 500 hPa Geopotential Height (HGT), and U and V wind components at 500 and 300 hPa from NCEP/NCAR were gathered. Synoptic patterns were obtained based on daily precipitation data, daily maps at HGT 500 hPa, and U and V wind components at 500 and 300 hPa. The analysis of patterns showed that the position of precipitation cores is associated with the position and extension of jet stream centers at 300 hPa in winter, spring, and autumn. The main position of jet stream cores during flood-causing rainfall at 300 hPa was over the northern part of Saudi Arabia, the Mesopotamia basin, and southern Iran. This position seems to have provided the conditions for the convergence of the earth’s surface and the divergence of the atmosphere for the easy passage of moisture from the Red Sea, Aden Sea, and the Persian Gulf, and in the second rank, the Mediterranean Sea and the Arabian Sea.

Keywords

• widespread precipitation
• jet stream location
• western trough
• moisture advection
• Iran