Војно дело (Jan 2016)
Analytical model of deception detection in intelligence cycle
Abstract
Deceptions are based on psychology, and therefore special attention should be paid to the selection of an analyst who will think critically and creatively to detect deception, using one of the methods that have already been developed. However, the problem lies in the fact that the existing techniques for detecting deception focus on an analysis of the source, collectors and information, and if there is any doubt about their credibility, the process of reviewing the ways and conditions of collecting is started in order to determine possible deception. The question is raised of how to detect deception in other phases of the intelligence cycle and how to regulate the functioning of the intelligence cycle as a whole to be more resistant to deception. Each phase (direction, collection, analysis, and dissemination) may be compromised by some of deception measures. Where deceptions will be inserted into the system depends on the weaknesses of the system. Great attention is paid to the analysis of persons running respective phases of the cycle, as well as of technical devices, which are also easily deceived. During the study, a problem emerged of reexamining the need for the existence of the intelligence cycle in classical form, as well as different theoretical approaches to the number of phases in the intelligence cycle.
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