Climatically Determined Spatial and Temporal Changes in the Biomass of Betula spp. of Eurasia in the Context of the Law of the Limiting Factor

Abstract

Forest ecosystems play an essential role in climate stabilization, and the study of their capabilities in this aspect is of paramount importance. How climate changes affect the biomass of trees and stands in transcontinental gradients is unknown today? The objective of this study was (a) to verify the operation of the law of the limiting factor at the transcontinental level when modeling changes in the biomass of trees and stands of the genus Betula spp. of Eurasia in relation to geographically determined indicators of temperatures and precipitation, and (b) to show the possibility of using the constructed climate-conditioned models of tree and stand biomass in predicting temporal changes in tree and stand biomass based on the principle of space-for-time substitution. As a result of the implementation of the principles of the limiting factor and space-for-time substitution, a common pattern has been established on tree and stand levels: in sufficiently moisture-rich climatic zones, an increase in temperature by 1 °C with a constant amount of precipitation causes an increase in aboveground biomass, and in moisture-deficient zones, it decreases; in warm climatic zones, a decrease in precipitation by 100 mm at a constant average January temperature causes a decrease in aboveground biomass, and in cold climatic zones, it increases.

Keywords

• biomass of trees and stands
• database
• regression analysis
• the principle of space-for-time substitution
• the law of the limiting factor
• transcontinental level
• temperature and precipitation