An ecological study of the spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers of domestically acquired campylobacteriosis in Ireland, 2011-2018.

Abstract

In 2021, Campylobacteriosis was the main gastrointestinal disease in the European Union since 2007 according to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. In the Republic of Ireland, the incidence of the disease is particularly high with approximately 3,000 cases per annum, raising significant concerns for national health authorities with an expected increase in the number of cases in the light of climate change. The current study sought to assess the spatio-temporal patterns of campylobacteriosis in the Republic of Ireland using 20,391 cases from January 2011 to December 2018. An ensemble of spatial statistics techniques including seasonal decomposition, spatial clustering and space-time scanning, were used to elucidate the main individual and spatio-temporal characteristics of the disease in the country. Findings revealed that cases from the paediatric age group (i.e., under 5 years old) were more likely to occur in rural areas (aOR: 1.1.27, CI 95% 1.14-1.41) while cases from the intermediate age group (i.e., >5 & <65 years old) were associated with urban living (aOR: 1.30, CI 95% 1.21-1.4). The disease exhibited a peak during Irish summer, with a stronger seasonal signal reported in counties located on the Western part of the country. Infection hotspots were more likely to occur in urban areas, and more particularly on the Southern part of the island and around the main metropolitan areas. Overall, research findings pointed out the influence of local and spatio-temporally specific socio-demographic and environmental risk factors (i.e., cooking habits, local weather, dietary types) therefore highlighting the need for initiating spatio-temporally targeted health management and surveillance strategies.