Mathematics (Apr 2022)

Application of Game Method for Modelling and Temporal Intuitionistic Fuzzy Pairs to the Forest Fire Spread in the Presence of Strong Wind

  • Deyan Mavrov,
  • Vassia Atanassova,
  • Veselina Bureva,
  • Olympia Roeva,
  • Peter Vassilev,
  • Radoslav Tsvetkov,
  • Dafina Zoteva,
  • Evdokia Sotirova,
  • Krassimir Atanassov,
  • Alexander Alexandrov,
  • Hristo Tsakov

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math10081280
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 8
p. 1280

Abstract

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In a series of papers, the initiation and development of forest fires are described in terms of the cellular automata-based Game Method for Modelling (GMM), modelling a particular area as an orthogonal grid of square cells whose values are changing with respect to predefined rules. In the present leg of this research, the simulation of the wildfire that occurred in the Kresna Gorge in Bulgaria in August 2017 is presented, rendering an account of the wind, characterized by its direction and intensity, and evaluating the impact of the fire iteratively in terms of temporal intuitionistic fuzzy sets that maintain the information about the degrees of burnt and unaffected areas. The results from the software product FireGrid, implementing the GMM-model developed by the authors, are also compared to the results from the software application FlamMap. Additionally, the paper presents for the first time the basic properties of the defined operations and operators over temporal intuitionistic fuzzy pairs.

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