Incidence, risk and prognosis of second primary malignancy of patients with gastric adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Abstract Due to the long-term low survival rates of gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC) patients, the occurrence and prognosis of second primary malignancies (SPMs) are often underreported and overlooked as a significant concern.To date, only a few studies have addressed this issue in the context of GAC. These studies, however, are limited by their small patient cohorts and lack of substantial, meaningful findings. Our study aims to fill this gap by investigating the incidence, risk factors, and prognostic significance of SPMs among GAC survivors. Utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we analysed data from patients diagnosed with GAC between 2000 and 2020. The study employs the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) to assess the relative risk of SPMs, competing risk regression to identify risk factors for SPM development after GAC, and Kaplan-Meier and COX regression analyses for survival outcomes. Out of 44,041 GAC patients analyzed, 2,032 (4.3%) developed SPMs, with a median latency period of 36 months. The incidence of SPMs was significantly higher in GAC patients (SIR 1.36, 95% CI 1.32-1.4, EAR 53.57) compared to the general population. Key factors including older age, sex, tumor grade, summary stage, and history of surgical and radiation therapy were related to the higher risk of developing SPMs following GAC. Interestingly, GAC patients without SPMs exhibited poorer overall survival compared to those with SPMs. Age, summary stage, and surgical history were identified as independent prognostic factors for GAC patients with SPMs. This comprehensive analysis underscores the necessity of vigilant monitoring and tailored follow-up for SPMs in GAC survivors, highlighting the study's contribution to enhancing GAC survivors care strategies.

Keywords

• Gastric cancer
• Second primary malignancy
• SEER
• Survival analysis