Deep Learning in Financial Modeling: Predicting European Put Option Prices with Neural Networks
Zakaria Elbayed,
Abdelmjid Qadi EI Idrissi
Affiliations
Zakaria Elbayed
Laboratory for Analysis and Modeling of Systems and Decision Support, Center for Doctoral Studies in Science and Technology and Medical Sciences, National School of Applied Sciences, Hassan First University, Settat 20000, Morocco
Abdelmjid Qadi EI Idrissi
Laboratory for Analysis and Modeling of Systems and Decision Support, Center for Doctoral Studies in Science and Technology and Medical Sciences, National School of Applied Sciences, Hassan First University, Settat 20000, Morocco
This paper explores the application of deep neural networks (DNNs) as an alternative to the traditional Black–Scholes model for predicting European put option prices. Using synthetic datasets generated under the Black–Scholes framework, the proposed DNN achieved strong predictive performance, with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0021 and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9533. This study highlights the scalability and adaptability of DNNs to complex financial systems, offering potential applications in real-time risk management and the pricing of exotic derivatives. While synthetic datasets provide a controlled environment, this study acknowledges the challenges of extending the model to real-world financial data, paving the way for future research to address these limitations.
