Crisi

Abstract

Crises, in common parlance, are superimposed on disasters. But unlike these, a crisis brings with it its overcoming, for a ‘crisis’ is a passage in time, and the culmination of a process. This is why models of crises are difficult to realize. In fact, a crisis is such when it challenges our descriptive knowledge and creates a new balance: maybe this requires to enter the domain of complexity – the field of non-linear models. Crisis models indeed exist as regards the endogenous generation of the crises themselves; but in these models we are forced to look for the future equilibrium within the same system that generated the crisis. The problem of finding models capable of representing crises as generators of new solutions remains open.

Keywords

• crisis
• disaster
• prevision
• modeling
• non-linear models