Monitoring organisation and forecasting of crisis situations

Abstract

Purpose. Scientific substantiation of theoretical foundations and provision of practical recommendations for improving the system of crisis monitoring, assessment of its actual and predicted state; deterioration of living conditions. Methods. Based on the use of general scientific and special methods of cognition. The hypothetical and deductive method was used to reveal the content and essence of the concept of "crisis monitoring". The method of structural and functional analysis is used to identify current trends in the preparation, planning and implementation of measures related to the improvement of crisis monitoring. The method of generalisation and comparison is used to assess the current state of the crisis monitoring system, to evaluate its actual and forecasted state; deterioration of people's living conditions. Results. The article shows that emergency and crisis situations are an integral part of the social system. The author analyses the scientific heritage and legislation, which makes it possible to conclude that a crisis situation, critical situation, crisis, emergency situation are the defining properties of these systems and are the result of the action of factors. The author establishes that emergency and crisis situations develop in time and space and allow identifying certain stages at which crisis situations may arise. Conclusions. The consequences of emergency and crisis situations are always negative, but there is a direct and inverse relationship between crisis and emergency situations.

Keywords

• monitoring
• crisis situation
• emergency
• crisis
• national security
• state of emergency