National and subnational mortality trends of multiple myeloma in China, 2013–2020: Empirical evidence from national mortality

Abstract

The incidence of multiple myeloma (MM) has increased over time in China. Despite this increase, comprehensive and up-to-date statistics on its mortality at national and provincial scales are lacking. To bridge this gap, we used mortality data from the disease surveillance points system operated by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Mortality rates were standardized against the 2010 census population of China (ASMRC) and Segi's world population (ASMRW). Joinpoint regression models were used to analyze temporal trends. Our findings indicated an estimated 14,568 MM-related deaths in China. The observed crude mortality rates ASMRC, and ASMRW were 1.04, 0.80, and 0.62 per 100,000 individuals, respectively. A notable sex-related difference in mortality rates was evident, with male mortalities (8,319) surpassing female mortalities (6,249) by a factor of 1.33. Age-wise, mortality rates tended to increase after 55 years, reaching a maximum in those over 85 years (7.09 per 100,000 individuals). Provincial data revealed that the highest ASMRCs were in Zhejiang, Beijing, and Jiangxi, whereas the lowest were in Tibet, Qinghai, and Hainan. The period from 2013 to 2020 exhibited a significant increase of 58.09 % in MM mortality, with urban and rural areas exhibiting a 44.97 % and 70.94 % increase, respectively. This analysis highlights the growing mortality burden of MM across various demographics and regions, emphasizing the need for tailored disease management and preventive measures.

Keywords

• Multiple myeloma
• Mortality
• Epidemiology
• China
• Strategy