Foresight in Public Administration: Methods and Perspectives of Implementation in Ukraine

Abstract

The article deals with the main methods of foresight and the possibility of their application in Ukraine. The author tries to systematize prediction methods in the context of foresight. Examples of practical application of foresight methodology and individual technologies of social prediction are given. The author draws attention to the fact that in the field of public administration decisions must be made on the basis of knowledge of long-term trends and opportunities of technology and society. However, very often this knowledge is based only on the study of well-known tendencies. This leads to the fact that sooner or later, factors that are not taken into account because of their novelty and non-traditionality, become key. If they are not included in the timetable in time, then all long-term projects may be doomed to failure. Particular attention is needed to new factors and innovations, in conditions when the state is working on changing the ways of development of the country. In this situation, it is extremely important to focus on scientific, technical and social innovations that can point to new approaches to addressing traditional issues. Also, knowledge of the forecasts about the future may be of interest not only for the whole society, but also for an individual, when choosing a profession, work or ideas about ways to improve their material well-being. However, the main problem is that usually all these forecasts and vision of the future are formed under the influence of a particular group of experts, which offers the result of their research and analysis as a given. The implementation of Forsyth gives a wide range of stakeholders the opportunity to participate themselves in developing new approaches to decisions that shape the future of a country, region, city or family.

Keywords

• foresight
• Delphi method
• forecasting
• script development
• strategy development
• brainstorming
• expert panels