Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions

Diakowska Ewa; Stanek Paulina; Iwański Sławomir; Gąsiorek Edward

doi:10.1051/itmconf/20182300006

ITM Web of Conferences (Jan 2018)

Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions

Diakowska Ewa,
Stanek Paulina,
Iwański Sławomir,
Gąsiorek Edward

Affiliations

Diakowska Ewa: Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of Mathematics
Stanek Paulina: Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of Mathematics
Iwański Sławomir: Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of Mathematics
Gąsiorek Edward: Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of Mathematics

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300006
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 23
p. 00006

Abstract

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This article attempts to assess the future occurrence of a drought using the Sieljaninova hydrothermal index (HTC). Air temperature and total precipitation were simulated for current conditions (2000) and forecast for eight locations of meteorological stations in Poland according to the HAD and GFDL scenarios for RCP 45 and 60 for 2040 and 2060.

Published in ITM Web of Conferences

ISSN: 2271-2097 (Online)
Publisher: EDP Sciences
Country of publisher: France
LCC subjects: Technology: Technology (General): Industrial engineering. Management engineering: Information technology
Website: http://www.itm-conferences.org/

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