High prevalence group testing in epidemiology with geometrically inspired algorithms

Abstract

Abstract Demand for mass surveillance during peak times of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic caused high workload for clinical laboratories. Efficient and cost conserving testing designs by means of group testing can substantially reduce resources during possible future emergency situations. The novel hypercube algorithm proposed by Mutesa et al. 2021 published in Nature provides methodological proof of concept and points out the applicability to epidemiological testing. In this work, the algorithm is explored and expanded for settings with high group prevalence. Numerical studies investigate the limits of the adapted hypercube methodology, allowing to optimize pooling designs for specific requirements (i.e. number of samples and group prevalence). Hyperparameter optimization is performed to maximize test-reduction. Standard deviation is examined to investigate resilience and precision. Moreover, empirical validation was performed by elaborately pooling SARS-CoV-2 virus samples according to numerically optimized pooling designs. Laboratory experiments with SARS-CoV-2 sample groups, ranging from 50 to 200 items, characterized by group prevalence up to 10%, are successfully processed and analysed. Test-reductions from 50 to 72.5% were achieved in the experimental setups when compared to individual testing. Higher theoretical test-reduction is possible, depending on the number of samples and the group prevalence, indicated by simulation results.