Survival in influenza virus-related pneumonia by viral subtype: 2016-2020

Abstract

Background: : Influenza remains a common cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, and viral subtype-related differences in disease outcomes have been documented. Objective: : To characterize the survival experience of adult inpatients with influenza virus-associated pneumonia by viral subtype during five consecutive flu seasons. Method: : We performed a retrospective cohort study; data from 4,678 adults were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was fitted. Results: : The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 25.0 per 1,000 hospital days. The survival probabilities from pneumonia patients went from 93.4% (95% CI 92.6-94.1%) by day three to 43.3% (95% CI 39.2-47.4%) by day 30 from hospital admission. In general, the lowest survival rates were observed in patients with AH1N1 infection. In multiple models, after adjusting for comorbidities and when compared with A non-subtyped virus, pneumonia patients with AH3N2 or B strains had a significantly decreased risk of a non-favorable disease outcome. The association of other strains was not significant. Conclusions: : Our findings suggest that the survival of inpatients with influenza virus-associated pneumonia varies according to the pathogenic viral subtype; the lowest survival rates were observed in patients with AH1N1 infection. This effect was independent of the patients' gender, age, and the analyzed underlying health conditions.

Keywords

• Influenza, Human
• Survival Rate
• Inpatients
• Pneumonia, Viral
• Proportional Hazards Models