Scientific Reports (Jan 2025)

Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality

  • Fulden Batibeniz,
  • Sonia I. Seneviratne,
  • Srinidhi Jha,
  • Andreia Ribeiro,
  • Laura Suarez Gutierrez,
  • Christoph C. Raible,
  • Avni Malhotra,
  • Ben Armstrong,
  • Michelle L. Bell,
  • Eric Lavigne,
  • Antonio Gasparrini,
  • Yuming Guo,
  • Masahiro Hashizume,
  • Pierre Masselot,
  • Susana Pereira da Silva,
  • Dominic Royé,
  • Francesco Sera,
  • Shilu Tong,
  • Aleš Urban,
  • Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 15, no. 1
pp. 1 – 8

Abstract

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Abstract The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in less than ten years (at + 3.0 °C increase in global warming relative to preindustrial). In seven of these cities, heat mortality could exceed COVID-19 deaths in less than five years. Our results underscore the crucial need for climate action and for the integration of climate change into public health discourse and policy.