Scientific Reports (Jul 2024)

Risk analysis and assessment method for infectious diseases based on information entropy theory

  • Tilei Gao,
  • Tiebing Li,
  • Peng Xu

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-67783-3
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 14, no. 1
pp. 1 – 16

Abstract

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Abstract Infectious diseases risk is directly related to human life safety. After the COVID-19 pandemic, people have paid unprecedented attention to the risk of infectious diseases. Compared with treatment after the outbreak of the epidemic, identifying the influencing factors of infectious disease risk and quantitatively analyzing and assessing infectious disease risk before the outbreak of the epidemic plays an equally important role. This article focuses on the risk of irregular outbreaks of infectious diseases. On the one hand, a method based on information gain is proposed to calculate the weight of environmental factors directly related to infectious disease risk, to clarify the correlation between environmental factors and infectious disease risk. On the other hand, the risk calculation method based on risk weight number is proposed to calculate the risk level of different infectious diseases under the influence of specific environmental factors. Finally, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method are verified through case analysis and discussion. By comparing it with other risk assessment methods, the advantages and disadvantages of the proposed method are demonstrated.

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