Research on reliability index and failure probability of inherent defect insurance from the insurance perspective

Abstract

With the continuous improvement of people ‘s living standards, people have put forward higher requirements for the safety and comfort of housing. Therefore, Inherent Defect Insurance, a financial method to guarantee the quality of construction projects, has also emerged. At present, China ‘s Inherent Defect Insurance has been gradually promoted, but its claim mechanism has not been analyzed and studied. From the perspective of construction engineering, this paper first makes a bibliometric analysis of the influencing factors of insurance claims that may be caused by construction engineering quality through VOSViewers, and the evaluation index system of inherent defects is constructed. Then, according to the influencing factors, the PSO-LSSVR model is adopted to fit the performance function of the inherent defects. Finally, based on the reliability design principle of engineering structure, the reliability index and failure probability of Inherent Defect Insurance are derived from the performance function of inherent defects. This paper also analyzes its application in insurance practice and determines the relationship between the number of insurance underwriting policies and the initial reserve of insurance at a certain risk level. This paper studies the probability of Inherent Defect Insurance by constructing the reliability model of inherent defect risks in construction quality, and analyzes the anti-risk ability of insurance companies from the perspective of claim, which provides scientific analysis methods and theoretical basis for the scientific decision-making of insurance companies.

Keywords

• Inherent defect insurance
• PSO-LSSVR model
• Performance function
• Failure probability
• Insurance risk