Is it Possible to Estimate Match Result in Volleyball: A new Prediction Model

Central European Journal of Sport Sciences and Medicine. 2017;19 DOI 10.18276/cej.2017.3-01

 

Journal Homepage

Journal Title: Central European Journal of Sport Sciences and Medicine

ISSN: 2300-9705 (Print); 2353-2807 (Online)

Publisher: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego

Society/Institution: University of Szczecin

LCC Subject Category: Geography. Anthropology. Recreation: Recreation. Leisure: Sports | Medicine: Internal medicine: Special situations and conditions: Sports medicine | Science: Physiology

Country of publisher: Poland

Language of fulltext: English

Full-text formats available: PDF

 

AUTHORS

Cengiz Akarçeşme (Gazi University School of Physical Education and Sports, Ankara, Turkey)

EDITORIAL INFORMATION

Double blind peer review

Editorial Board

Instructions for authors

Time From Submission to Publication: 12 weeks

 

Abstract | Full Text

This study investigates the power of variables in a logistic regression model (the efficacy model or (EM)) to explain the match results in the Turkish Men’s Volleyball League (TMVL) and the Turkish Women’s Volleyball League (TWVL) in terms of the players’ positions. The dependent variable was the match result, and the power of the variables libero player efficiency (LPE), setter efficiency (SE), middle blocker efficiency (MBE), outside hitter efficiency (OHE) and universal player efficiency (UPE) were separately investigated for both genders. The EM accurately classified 83.45% of the games won and lost in the TWVL. The sensitivity (proportion of won games classified as won) and specificity (proportion of lost games classified as lost) was 85.03 and 81.88%, respectively. In the TMVL analysis, the classification accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were 78.23, 78.77 and 77.70%, respectively. Moreover, for both genders, the match results were chiefly explained by the SE, MBE, OHE and UPE. The LPE variable could not predict the results in the TWVL.