A New Metastatic Lymph Node Classification-based Survival Predicting Model in Patients With Small Bowel Adenocarcinoma: A Derivation and Validation Study
Shan Wu,
Jin-Nan Chen,
Qing-Wei Zhang,
Chao-Tao Tang,
Xin-Tian Zhang,
Ming-Yu Tang,
Xiao-Bo Li,
Zhi-Zheng Ge
Affiliations
Shan Wu
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Jin-Nan Chen
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Qing-Wei Zhang
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Chao-Tao Tang
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Xin-Tian Zhang
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Ming-Yu Tang
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Xiao-Bo Li
Corresponding authors.; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Zhi-Zheng Ge
Corresponding authors.; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Shanghai, China
Background: Current methods of lymph node (LN) staging are controversial in predicting the survival of SBA. We aimed to develop an alternative LN-classification-based nomogram to individualize SBA prognosis. Methods: Based on the data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of patients diagnosed with SBA between 2004 and 2014, we identified the cut-off points for the number of LNs examined and the number found to be metastatic using the K-adaptive partitioning (KAPS) algorithm. Using metastatic LNs, a nomogram predicting the survival of SBA was derived, internally and externally validated, and measured by calibration curve, C-index, and decision curve analysis (DCA), and compared to the 8th TNM stage. Results: A total of 1516 patients were included. The cut-off of 17 was the optimal examined LN number. For metastatic LN numbers, the cut-off points were 0, 2, and 8. The C-index for the nomogram was higher than the 8th TNM staging (internal: 0.734; 95% CI, 0.693 to 0.775 vs. 0.677; 95% CI, 0.652 to 0.702, P 8 metastatic LNs and set the least examined LN number to 17. A nomogram based on this staging showed great clinical usability than TNM staging for predicting the survival of SBA patients. Keywords: Small bowel carcinoma, Metastatic lymph node, Survival predicting model, TNM staging
